Is it worth monitoring?

I used to be over zealous about monitoring and tracking EVERYTHING. Now I am just zealous. It took me a while, but I have learned that if you are not using the information, why are you spending time to track it? For a numbers junkie like me, that is a very difficult conclusion to reach. However, after years of tracking everything under the sun, I have found the power of a simple and focused management metric system to be an incredibly effective management tool. It allows you to focus your management time on what you have identified as the most important variables in your business and effectively communicate that information to your people.

Don’t get me wrong; it is vitally important to track information in your business, and critical that you collect the correct building blocks of an information management system. It is much easier to enter a few pieces of data once a day than to try and recreate 6 months worth of data, just because you didn’t think it would be useful. But there needs to be a balance. I have seen accounting setups for small businesses with 150 expense account codes and setups with 4 expense codes. It doesn’t matter if you are drowning in information or starving for information, either scenario is ineffective.

So where do you start with figuring out what data to collect? With the goals for your business.

Lesson Learned: Analyze what you have and what you need, then strike a balance a to make it happen.

Focus on the Numbers: Per Unit Cost of Production

What is a per unit cost of production and why should I care?  A per unit cost of production allows you to examine your business over time as the size of the business changes, giving you a much more objective way of measuring performance.  Think of it this way, if you add 5 employees to your payroll and your net income goes up, you won, right?  Maybe, maybe not.

If you take your profit and loss statement and divide each line item by the number of employees for that same time period, you can come up with a per unit (in this case, per employee) cost.  Now when you want to look at two time periods and ask are we doing better or worse, you can reliably answer by each line item.  So if in 2016 first Quarter, you employed 10 people and made 10,000 widgets, you would expect 2016 Second Quarter with 15 people to be able to produce 15,000 widgets.  If you actually produced 12,000 widgets, you better start digging into the numbers more.  If you increased production to more than 15,000 widgets, you may deserve a pat on the back!

Now there are a ton of variables that can affect the per unit cost of production – economy, new equipment, training programs, input cost increases – all will affect the per unit costs.  But at least now you have a tool to help you objectively monitor your business by line item on your P&L.  The fun part is in asking the question why.

Per employee is not the only way to look at your production facility – I have seen managers look at per unit cost by total production, employee, per thousand dollars of investment, and many other ways, searching for the best way of describing their individual business.

Here is a  really cool trick for you to play with:  export a report from QuickBooks into Excel.  Now it is just a matter of adding a column to the spreadsheet, figuring out what per unit you want to look at, and creating a formula to do all the work for you.

Piece of cake… I know!  But that’s another day’s blog post…

Why do we have managers who can’t manage finance?

The failure rate of startups has always dismayed me. In my consulting, I see two main reasons for business failure. First, people don’t have a firm grasp of their financials. They just don’t know their numbers. Second, people underestimate the toll on their physical and mental health. Depression, divorce, heart attacks and strokes from stress are all too common and dismantle many companies that have everything else going for them.

Let’s look at the first reason for failure – Managers who can’t manage finances. The bulk of our entrepreneur class consists of people who start a business out of passion – I love to bake, to farm, to fix computers – but they don’t have any business background. How do they get their start? They are disgruntled employees who are so fed up with the way their boss does things that they quit and start their own business, with the barest of plans.

If you think about it, the entire restaurant industry has managers who do nothing but sooth irate customers and make sure people show up for work. Manufacturing is no different. From line managers to shift managers, financials are hidden from people. The focus is make your production numbers, or we will find someone who can. Anyone who has had a sales job knows it is all about hitting the sales quota. Just sell more, more, more. Rarely does anyone get to see the whole financial picture.

Is it any wonder todays entrepreneurs are missing critical skill sets? Budgeting. Reading financials. Financial controls. Cash flow. Profit and loss. Balance Sheet. Net Worth. Top that off with the misconception that having a CPA do their taxes once a year is more than enough and you have a small business at a disadvantage.

Here is a news flash. If you can’t put your hands on rock solid financial numbers to back up a decision and plan for the future, you are not managing. You are working hard and hoping for the best. Maybe it’s time to start working smarter, not harder. Focus on your financials.

Focus, but on the right thing.

Last week I met with a sales professional who was pretty darn good. At sales. She told me “last year I made 88 thousand. But in November, things got slow, and now in February, I have nothing left. I have been eating off of credit cards, and I don’t know where all that money went. I have over $12,000 in credit card debt.”

It’s not an uncommon scenario among people who make a living off of sales commissions. Real estate agents, car sales people, insurance agents – all of them are able to “sell” their way out of a financial hole. So how did she get in this financial hole? For starters, she was focused on one goal. Sell as much as possible. Generate lots of income. Period. Strong sales compensates for weak financial management skills, and when the sales dry up for whatever reason, the crash is hard and fast.

The solution?

First step: Change your focus. From sales, to net worth. Choosing the right metric makes all the difference in the world. Set realistic financial, sales, and personal goals.

Second step: Find out where you spent all the money. Download your check book register to QuickBooks, Excel, or any other program that lets you sift through the data easily and find out where you spent your money.

Third step: Create a budget. Replenish your cash reserves, plan not only your income and expense, but also your assets and liabilities. Make the budget robust enough to handle the variability in your income stream while adding to your net worth.

Fourth step: Develop processes that support your goals. Formalize your sales process to fill your sales funnel from prospects to sales. By keeping your sales funnel filled at the top and following your process, sales droughts are leveled out and financial stresses are reduced. Follow the sales processes religiously! Develop financial processes that alert you well before any financial issue becomes a business threatening disaster. Build in automation to make sales and finance functions efficient.

Fifth step: Breath. Control your thoughts and don’t panic. Decisions made in the heat of the moment are rarely good decisions. Gather data, develop a solid plan, and implement.

That’s the path out.

 

The Hidden Cost of Debt

Debt is a topic that gets people fired up.  It can make you money.  It should be avoided like the plague.  Classic good vs. evil arguments.  To me, it is just another tool that you can use.  From a business standpoint, it is very important to understand the impacts of debt and why it is called leverage.

Look at the table below.  It represents two scenarios – one where a company is making money, and another where the company is losing money.  I want to focus on ROA – Return on Assets, and ROE – Return on Equity.  If there is no debt, they are both the same.  But with debt, someone else owns a part of your company, and the amount of equity you have invested is less.  When you borrow money and have a good year, your ROE grows substantially more than the ROA.  In the example below, the difference is 20% ROA and 100% ROE.    Borrowing money allows you to make a substantially higher return on your portion of the money invested in the business.

Now for the other side of the coin.  What happens if you have a bad year?  In the second column, you see a company with 1 million in sales lost $50,000.  That’s a shortfall of 5% of total sales, and I have seen folks argue that is not much in the grand scheme of things.  But look at the ROA.  That $50,000 loss translates to a 10% loss in total assets.  And when you look at equity, that amounts to 50% of your equity in the business.

Leverage works both ways.  With debt, if you are making money, your equity grows much faster than without debt.  If you are losing money, your equity disappears much faster too.

The bottom line is, debt is an accelerator.  Make sure you know the direction you are traveling before stepping on the gas.

 

  Making Money Losing Money
Sales  $      1,000,000  $  1,000,000
COGS  $         400,000  $     600,000
Gross Sales  $         600,000  $     400,000
     
Total Expenses  $         500,000  $     450,000
Net Income  $         100,000  $      (50,000)
     
Assets  $         500,000  $     500,000
Liabilities  $         400,000  $     400,000
Equity  $         100,000  $     100,000
     
ROA 20% -10%
ROE 100% -50%
     
Equity AFTER Net Income or loss  $         200,000  $       50,000

Marketing Math

Everybody loves math! I know, people always tell me so! Hmm, now that I think about it, perhaps they were being sarcastic. What do you think?

Seriously, it is important to make decisions based upon solid numbers. Today, I want to talk a bit about marketing math. Anyone who has listened to a sales pitch for advertising should consider a few calculations before spending any money. How much does it cost you to acquire one customer? How much does one customer spend over their lifetime with you? How much do you spend to purchase the product you are selling – which is called Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)?

Here are the math formulas for you to follow along with:

Cost to acquire 1 new customer = Marketing campaign $ divided by number of NEW customers.

Lifetime spending = Average sale times average times per year a customer buys times average years a customer buys.

COGS = how much you paid for your product. If you are making or assembling a product, add up the component costs plus the labor to assemble or produce. If you know what your sales margins are, you can use that percentage to come up with an average COGS.

Now for the number crunching. I have seen people say it costs me $100 to acquire a new customer, they buy about $500 worth of product over their lifetime with us. Good deal, right? Maybe… Depends on how much your COGS is. If you spend $100 for COGS, you have 300 to go to overhead and marketing. More than $400 COGS, and you have a real problem. You have not covered the COGS and additional marketing costs might be pushing you into a rising sales and falling profits scenario, a very dangerous place to be. There are other cost factors to consider, but this simplification is a good starting point.

This is why so many businesses go under during a sales growth period. Perplexing to the folks who don’t understand the numbers and it is hard to catch in time. But if you have rising sales and yet cash flow is getting tighter, that’s your sign to delve into the numbers. Ignore the euphoria when sales are growing fast and focus on the bottom line. That’s what is important.

If you find yourself in a low margin business – businesses like grocery stores, farm markets, and gas stations, what can you do? Lower the cost to acquire a new customer, develop loyalty programs to get your customers to buy more frequently and keep them longer, and add symbiotic products to raise the average a customer spends with you.

For many, this kind of math is as boring as watching paint dry, but if you want to play the entrepreneur game for a long time, you had better get used to it. Because if you wait until tax time to figure out you had a year of costs rising faster than sales, you won’t be around for long. Don’t like doing the math? That’s fine, we do.

Financial Focus

Entrepreneurs often progresses through four stages of financial management focus – Check book balance monitoring, cash flow monitoring, net income monitoring, and net worth monitoring. Each change brings its own learning curve, and the change of focus brings increasing rewards.

Often a new entrepreneur will gauge their financial health by looking at their check book balance, and very little else. As time goes on and the flaws with this system come to light. A bounced a check or two and the stress of being chronically short of cash pushes your focus to cash flow and timing. First with a week, then a month and eventually working up to focusing on yearly cash flow. Lack of cash flow management will kill a business faster than lack of profitability. Businesses with high debt can easily be profitable but have crippling cash flow issues that shut down a business.

The next step in a company’s progression is to start focusing on managing net income. Cash flow is more important in the short term, but in the long term, you have to make a profit. Cost control measures and sales systems are put in place to insure profits. Plans and processes that put money towards the bottom line.

The last step is one that few entrepreneurs think of – managing net worth. Opportunities that provide the fastest growth to net worth are prioritized and funded. The impacts of debt on growth are understood and exploited. It is a subtle change, but focusing on net worth is what builds lasting wealth.

As a business matures, the monitoring of financial progress must adapt as well. Where are you at on the learning curve?

Think like an Entrepreneur

I was waiting at the doctor’s office one day when the receptionist asked a waiting room full of people “Does anyone speak Spanish?” The lady sitting beside me happily jumps up to help out. I jokingly tell her to ask for an application, she giggles and says $20 per hour, and said she will get rich! If you do the math on $20 per hour, 40 hours per week, 52 weeks per year (no vacation, you are rolling in the money!), you have a gross income of $41,600. That is where many folks stop and say wow, much better than my minimum wage job!

While that may sound like a very good wage to someone who is used to working for others, it won’t support a business for very long. When you have been trading dollars for time all your life, there are many things that slip by you because you have never had to think about them.

For starters, as a self-employed person, you have to cover both the employer and employee shares of Social Security, unemployment insurance, workers compensation, and insurance just for starters. These can easily take 25% or more of your hourly rate to cover your costs. Throw in a computer, continuing education, cell phone, transportation, and a small office and you are racking up all kinds of costs. Now here is the real kicker. Rarely do you get 40 billable hours per week. As a fledgling entrepreneur, you have to spend time tracking your time, marketing your business, making sales calls, billing your new customers and everything else you have to do when you are your own boss. So here is the real math on that $20 per hour job.

 

Dollars per hour  

$           20.00

Hours per week

x

                 30

Weeks per year (you might get sick)

x

                 50

Gross income

=

$         30,000

25% taxes and Insurance

$           7,500

Net Income

=

$         22,500

     
Dollars per hour at 40 hours per week, 52 weeks per year  

$           10.82

     
Percent Difference  

           54%

When you look at the percent difference, you will see that your original numbers were off by almost 50%. By taking a bit of time to run through some numbers, you can avoid making some big mistakes! You can use this same framework when pricing out your services to customers, looking for all of the hidden costs you are facing. A very handy thought process to keep your new business alive.